Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.004566 0.005157 0.005828 0.006654 0.007653 0.008834 0.010357
2025-12-14 0.003706 0.004437 0.005342 0.006566 0.008221 0.010441 0.013762
2025-12-21 0.003315 0.004134 0.005210 0.006775 0.009081 0.012520 0.018403
2025-12-28 0.003077 0.003966 0.005193 0.007088 0.010107 0.015074 0.024796
2026-01-04 0.002835 0.003747 0.005055 0.007176 0.010779 0.017236 0.031563
2026-01-11 0.002605 0.003511 0.004851 0.007113 0.011166 0.018991 0.038501
2026-01-18 0.002433 0.003339 0.004716 0.007129 0.011682 0.021154 0.047891
2026-01-25 0.002250 0.003130 0.004498 0.006963 0.011811 0.022540 0.056302
2026-02-01 0.002065 0.002902 0.004222 0.006654 0.011590 0.023050 0.062485
2026-02-08 0.001903 0.002695 0.003964 0.006343 0.011303 0.023317 0.068196
2026-02-15 0.001826 0.002620 0.003917 0.006419 0.011860 0.025983 0.086748
2026-02-22 0.001724 0.002496 0.003773 0.006287 0.011926 0.027323 0.101378
2026-03-01 0.001610 0.002351 0.003594 0.006089 0.011860 0.028467 0.118708
2026-03-08 0.001524 0.002247 0.003481 0.006014 0.012092 0.030746 0.149810
2026-03-15 0.001483 0.002215 0.003492 0.006199 0.013032 0.036069 0.226856
2026-03-22 0.001456 0.002205 0.003543 0.006475 0.014312 0.043781 0.391755
2026-03-29 0.001407 0.002153 0.003507 0.006553 0.015056 0.049986 0.630100
2026-04-05 0.001347 0.002077 0.003419 0.006497 0.015384 0.054589 0.954485
2026-04-12 0.001300 0.002021 0.003364 0.006511 0.015947 0.061147 1.690231
2026-04-19 0.001240 0.001938 0.003249 0.006365 0.015941 0.064466 2.607882
2026-04-26 0.001172 0.001836 0.003091 0.006093 0.015438 0.064246 3.287703
2026-05-03 0.001108 0.001740 0.002937 0.005817 0.014875 0.063317 3.974843
2026-05-10 0.001081 0.001710 0.002918 0.005884 0.015571 0.072335 12.641276